Polymarket Is In Panama
polymarketisinpanama.com

How Polymarket Operates From Panama

Documentation of Polymarket's offshore corporate structure, what operating from Panama makes possible, and the national security implications.

I. Areas of ConcernII. The Scheme
Section I

What Operating From Panama Makes Possible

Since its launch, Polymarket's primary operating entity — Adventure One QSS Inc., a Panamanian corporation — has offered markets that would be plainly illegal if operated by a registered U.S. commodities exchange. These are not edge cases. They represent systematic, ongoing conduct that has persisted despite multiple regulatory actions — and that would constitute clear violations of U.S. law on any registered exchange.

A

Markets Involving War, Terrorism, and Death

The Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) explicitly prohibits offering certain categories of event contracts, including those involving terrorism, assassination, war, and murder. A registered exchange would be strictly prohibited from listing these products. Polymarket lists them for anyone with a cryptocurrency wallet —no registration, no disclosure, no oversight.

Active Market Categories That Would Violate the CEA on Any Registered U.S. Exchange
  • Assassination of named world leaders
  • Outcomes of military strikes and invasions
  • Death of political figures from illness or violence
  • Terrorist attacks and mass casualty events
  • War declarations and cease-fire agreements
  • Coup attempts and government overthrows
Exhibit APolitical Assassination
Political Assassination
Exhibit BNuclear Detonation
Nuclear Detonation

The CFTC's 2022 action against Polymarket's predecessor entity, Blockratize Inc., acknowledged these violations. The solution Polymarket chose was not compliance — it was relocation to Panama.

B

Zero KYC: Criminals, Minors, and Sanctioned Actors Could Be Trading Freely

Polymarket requires no identity verification to create an account or begin trading. No name, no address, no age check, no citizenship verification, no sanctions screening of any kind.

U.S. commodities exchanges must implement Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) programs under the Bank Secrecy Act and CFTC regulations. Polymarket appears to have implemented none of these, which could create an open door for:

C

Rampant Wash Trading

Multiple independent analyses of on-chain data have suggested systematic wash trading may be occurring on Polymarket — simultaneously buying and selling contracts to create artificial volume and manipulate prices. Under the Commodity Exchange Act, wash trading is explicitly prohibited and would constitute fraud on a registered exchange. Because Polymarket operates with no trade surveillance, no reporting requirements, and no registered oversight, any such activity would occur with no risk of detection.

Section II

How Is Polymarket Getting Away With It?

Polymarket's apparent approach to U.S. regulatory exposure was to incorporate in Panama. Adventure One QSS Inc. — incorporated October 19, 2021, just weeks before a January 2022 CFTC order targeting its predecessor — accounts for 97% of Polymarket's total trading volume.

Polymarket Panama
Adventure One QSS Inc.
~97% of volume
UNREGULATED
Markets
All markets — war, death, elections, terrorism, crypto, sports
KYC
None
Oversight
None
Polymarket U.S.
Polymarket Inc.
~3% of volume
CFTC-Registered
Markets
Sports markets only (launched December 2025)
KYC
Required
Oversight
CFTC

Polymarket typically declines to respond to media inquiries and has made no public statements acknowledging compliance obligations under any jurisdiction.

In some instances, Polymarket has appeared to publicly encourage insider trading on the platform — promoting the idea that traders with advance knowledge of events should place wagers on outcomes. This would constitute a federal crime on any registered U.S. exchange.

Countries That Have Acted Against Polymarket Panama
JurisdictionRegulatory ActionRationale
AustraliaRegulator blocking (reported)Illegal targeting of Australian users
FranceRegulator required geoblockingConsumer protection / illegal gambling
BelgiumFormal blacklist + ISP blockingUnlicensed gambling platform
PolandGovernment blacklistAdded to illegal gambling registry
PortugalNationwide ISP blocking (2026)Unlicensed operations
SwitzerlandRegulator blocklistProhibited gambling domains
SingaporeRegulator blacklist + ISP blockingIllegal gambling
TaiwanRestriction + enforcement actionsIllegal gambling classification
ArgentinaCourt-ordered nationwide banUnlicensed betting platform
New ZealandStatutory prohibitionPrediction markets illegal under gambling law
RomaniaRegulator restriction / blacklistIllegal gambling classification
ItalyISPs block accessIllegal gambling classification
UkraineRegulatory blocking (reported)Unlicensed gambling
HungaryISPs block accessIllegal gambling
NetherlandsGambling Authority penalty order (reported)Illegal gambling services